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On 6 July 2017, the European Union ("EU") and Japan announced having reached an "agreement in principle" on a future Economic and Partnership Agreement ("EPA"). The final agreement, which both parties aim to conclude before the end of the year, is expected to boost EU-Japan trade by cutting red tape and scrapping duties.
The EU/Japan trade relationship in a nutshell
Japan is the EU's second largest trading partner in Asia (after China), and sixth largest trading partner overall. In 2016, EU exports to Japan amounted to approximately EUR 58 billion of goods and EUR 28 billion of services. Trade flows between the EU and Japan consist mainly of motor vehicles, machinery, medical instruments, pharmaceuticals and chemicals. Prior to the agreement in principle, the EU and Japan had concluded:
The EPA should provide key benefits for EU/Japanese businesses
In the words of the EU Commissioner for Trade, "the scale of [the EPA's] ambition, and the combined economic size [of both parties], would make it one of the biggest the world has ever seen." In the same vein as other agreements concluded recently by the EU, the EPA is indeed meant to go beyond traditional trade issues alone and should cover fields as diverse as corporate governance, competition, sustainable development, data protection, and cooperation on agriculture, forestry, fisheries and food. It should also boost EU-Japan trade in goods and services through the following concessions:
The meaning of an "agreement in principle" and next steps
The agreement in principle does not mean that the negotiating process is completely finalised. Some of the agreement's chapters still require fine-tuning and some issues are still open and remain to be settled before the actual finalisation of the negotiations (e.g. on investment or regulatory cooperation). Although the agreement in principle should provide a clear idea of the type of concessions that both the EU and Japan are willing to make, traders cannot yet rely on its provisions and should therefore wait for the publication of the EPA.
Once the EU and Japan reach a final agreement (which they aim to do before the end of the year), and depending on what it actually covers, the European Commission will decide whether to propose the EPA as an "EU only" agreement (i.e. one that only covers policy areas the EU is responsible for) or a "mixed" agreement (i.e. one that covers areas both the EU and its Member States are responsible for). An "EU only" agreement would need to be approved by (i) the governments of the Member States and (ii) the European Parliament. Conversely, a "mixed" agreement would need to be approved by (i) the governments of the Members States, (ii) the European Parliament, and (iii) the national – and possibly regional – parliaments. In that regard, it is important to bear in mind the EU Courts' recent clarification as to what constitutes an "EU only" agreement as opposed to a "mixed" agreement (see here), as well as the potential difficulties associated with the approval of "mixed" agreements by national/regional parliaments (e.g. in the framework of the EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, see here).
Furthermore, the UK will formally be a party to the EPA (provided that it is concluded before the end of the Article 50 TFEU procedure). However, this will likely no longer be the case once the UK leaves the EU. Informed sources have indicated that the EPA will likely not include specific provisions as to how to address the UK's departure from the EU (and consequent withdrawal from the EPA). The impact of the UK's departure from the EU on EU free trade agreements is addressed in more detail in a previous ILO update (see here).
EU/Japanese businesses should prepare and take action
EU businesses importing from and/or exporting to Japan (and vice versa) should prepare for the entry into force of the EPA. This requires assessing the exact impact of the EPA on their operations (on the basis of the provisions of the agreement in principle), and identifying potential opportunities and challenges deriving therefrom. In addition, UK-based businesses and Japanese businesses trading primarily with the UK should also identify the potential consequences of the UK's likely withdrawal from the EPA upon its departure from the EU, and already consider mitigating actions to remove/reduce any disruptions associated therewith.
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